中国农业补贴政策对谷物供需影响的模拟分析

PREFACE
ABSTRACT

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1．1 Background
1．2 Objectives
1．3 Justifications
1．4 Literature Review
1．5 Organization

CHAPTER 2 SITUATIONS OF GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN CHINA
2．1 Grain Production
2．2 Grain Consumption
2．3 Grain Trade
2．4 Ending Stocks

CHAPTER 3 AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDY POLICIES IN CHINA
3．1 Agricultural Subsidy Policies
3．2 Changes in Input Factor Demand after the Subsidy Policies
3．3 Changes in Input Factor Prices after the Subsidy Policies
3．4 Characteristic and Impact Mechanism of the Subsidy Policies
3．5 Conclusion

CHAPTER 4 DIRECT EFFECTS OF THE SUBSIDY POLICIES IN CHINA
4． 1 Subsidy Policies and Grain Supply Responses
4． 2 Subsidy Policies and Grain Prices

CHAPTER 5 CHINA GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND MODEL
5．1 Production Sector
5．2 Grain Consumption
5．3 Trade Sector
5．4 Price Linkages
5．5 Market Clearance
5．6 Model Estimation

CHAPTER 6 SIMULATIONS ON CHINA'S GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND
6．1 Scenarios for the Policy Simulations
6．2 Simulations for the Subsidy Policies

6．3 Simulations for Changes in the Measurements of Grain Security
CHAPTER 7 CONCLUSION AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS ~
7．1 Conclusion
7．2 Policy Implications
7．3 Suggestions for Further Research

REFERENCES
APPENDICES
Appendix 1 Balance of rice supply and demand
Appendix 2 Balance of wheat supply and demand
Appendix 3 Balance of corn supply and demand