新媒体联盟地平线报告-(2016年博物馆版)-中英文版

序　言 概　要 1 导　言 4 加快博物馆技术应用的关键趋势 7 远期趋势：未来5 年或更长时间内推动博物馆应用技术 > 跨机构协作 9 > 博物馆专业人员的新角色 12 中期趋势：未来3 ～ 5 年内推动博物馆应用技术 > 博物馆运营的数据分析 16 > 个性化参观 19 短期趋势：未来1 ～ 2 年内推动博物馆应用技术 > 移动内容和传播 23 > 体验式参观 27 阻碍博物馆应用技术的重大挑战 31 可以战胜的挑战：了解并清楚如何解决的挑战 > 发展数字化战略 33 > 提高博物馆专业人员的数字化素养 37 难以应对的挑战：了解但难以解决的挑战 > 改善无障碍环境，为残疾人群提供便利 41 > 测评新技术的影响 45 棘手的挑战：复杂到难以定义，更谈不上如何解决的挑战 > 过时知识管理 49 > 隐私问题 53 博物馆教育和解说技术的重要发展 57 预期投入应用时间：1 年或1 年以内 > 数字人文技术 60 > 创客空间 64 预期投入应用时间：2 ～ 3 年 > 位置智能 68 > 虚拟现实 72 预期投入应用时间：4 ～ 5 年 > 信息可视化 76 > 网络化对象 80 新媒体联盟地平线报告（2016 年博物馆版）专家组成员名单 84 Executive Summary 87 Introduction 89 Key Trends Accelerating Technology Adoption in Museums 92 Long-Term Trend: Driving Ed Tech adoption in museums for five or more years ● Cross-Institution Collaboration 94 ● New Roles for Museum Professionals 97 Mid-Term Trend: Driving Ed Tech adoption in museums for three to five years ● Data Analytics for Museum Operations 100 ● Personalization 103 Short-Term Trend: Driving Ed Tech adoption in museums for the next one to two years ● Mobile Content and Delivery 106 ● Participatory Experiences 109 Significant Challenges Impeding Technology Adoption in Museums 112 Solvable Challenge: Those that we understand and know how to solve ● Developing Effective Digital Strategies 114 ● Improving Digital Literacy of Museum Professionals 117 Difficult Challenge: Those that we understand but for which solutions are elusive ● Improving Accessibility for Disabled Populations 120 ● Measuring the Impact of New Technologies 123 Wicked Challenge: Those that are complex to even define, much less address ● Managing Knowledge Obsolescence 126 ● Privacy Concerns 129 Important Developments in Educational Technology for Museum Education and Interpretation 132 Time-to-Adoption Horizon: One Year or Less ● Digital Humanities Technologies 135 ● Makerspaces 138 Time-to-Adoption Horizon: Two to Three Years ● Location Intelligence 141 ● Virtual Reality 144 Time-to-Adoption Horizon: Four to Five Years ● Information Visualization 147 ● Networked Objects 150 The 2016 Museum Edition Expert Panel 153 Endnotes（注释） 154